Market Commentary: Friday 13th December

GBPUSD is lower this morning at 1.2640, following news that the UK economy shrank by 0.1% in October, against a consensus expectation of a 0.1% gain. The mood in Asia is also subdued, with the Nikkei down 0.95% and the Hang Seng dropping 1.8%. Iron Ore prices fell 2% in Singapore amid a lack of concrete details from China’s economic gathering. Officials, led by President Xi Jinping, pledged to increase borrowing and spending in 2025 following the Central Economic Work Conference (CEWC) in Beijing, but the policy measures remain vague.

Looking back at yesterday, the European Central Bank cut borrowing costs by 25 basis points, the Swiss National Bank surprised markets with a 50 basis point cut, and the Central Bank of Brazil not only raised rates but signaled it would implement 100bp hikes in each of the next two meetings.

Today’s focus will be on Eurozone industrial production, the US Import/Export Price Index, and Canadian wholesale data.

Market-wise:

  • The yield on 10-year Treasuries continues to climb, reaching 4.32%.
  • Bitcoin rose 0.3% to $100,103.42, while Ether gained 1.5% to $3,925.61.
  • West Texas Intermediate crude was steady at $70.15 a barrel.
  • Spot gold opens the session at $2,683.65 an ounce.

It’s starting to feel as though the festive season is kicking in. Wishing you all a great weekend!

**For professional investors only** Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, or other information contained in this blog is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute (and should not be construed as containing) investment advice or an investment recommendation, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Some of this information may have been provided by third-party sources and, although believed to be reliable, it has not been independently verified and its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. No representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of iSAM Securities or its directors or any other person as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in this blog, and no responsibility or liability is accepted for any such information. As a result, any person acting on any information does so entirely at their own risk. iSAM Securities will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.